Teslas' Estimated Range Does Not Reflect Driving Conditions

Not surprised at all that this is the approach Tesla have taken. I've very quickly gone from being a fan to not caring about Tesla at all anymore. And that happened before Musk took over Twitter X. The EV space is moving on, self-driving is nowhere near being achievable from what I've seen and range anxiety / battery health are probably the biggest concerns that are not close to being addressed yet.

What I will say though is that no car in the history of the world has given an accurate range projection (as far as I'm aware). This is not unique to Tesla, but this is awful:

Tesla models get less than half their estimated range.

My own recent experiences with claimed range are tied to two mild-hybrids. Both achieve around 70-75% of the manufacturers advertised economy. Both also adjust their predictions based on recent driving experiences. If I've taken a long journey, and achieved better economy, then the claimed range will be longer than if I've been driving around town.

One car is fairly consistent with what the claimed range is, the other (newer) is pessimistic on a full tank and a little optimistic on half a tank but it basically averages out. Why Tesla wouldn't go this route confuses me. It's surely an easy algorithm for them to implement and to present something tied to reality. WLTP is fine, but I'd much prefer that manufacturers had a pessimistic view on the range available than presenting an optimistic and unrealistic picture that no-one can really achieve.

Take this Mercedes concept vehicle, the Vision EQXX. They shot for 1,000km and hit 1,008km with 140km left in the tank. That is how you address the range of your car.


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